- Lay The Draw & Correct Score Trading Strategy
- Laying The Correct Score Markets
- Laying The Correct Score Market Capitalization
'Would you like to copy my simple lay method using the football correct score market that is making me easy profits on Betfair? And would you like to see proof?
Then read on…. '
Correct Score - Free download as PDF File (.pdf), Text File (.txt) or read online for free. Football trading correct score.
Yes, it's Chris Williams back again with another simple – but highly effective – way of making a profit from Betfair.
This method is a lay bet method & I know that some of you totally HATE placing lay bets. If so, then the CS Lay Method is not for you!
I should also add that it's NOT a dutching method even though it's on this website.
You could use this strategy in the Correct Score market of a football match. You may decide that the 2 teams are closely matched, and that there will be very few goals scored. You could lay several score lines with plenty of goals, for example, 2-2, 2-3, 3-2, 3-3, plus any other score, targeting 3-3 and any other score. Bookmakers will typically limit the number of correct score odds to a maximum number of goals per team. If we call that number n, the maximum number of possible scores quoted by the bookmaker is then given by the formula (n+1) 2. For example, games that finish with anything from 0 to 6 goals for either team can have 49 possible scores. Free football correct score tips for the day. The best free daily expert correct score predictions provided by professional punters.
Those of you who are quite happy to place lay bets should read on:
This is a very simple technique. You just do the following steps:
place a lay bet on a single correct score for certain football matches. Lay odds are recommended to be a maximum of 9.0 but most lays are in the range of 5.5 & below
wait for the match to end
make a profit that has a return on investment figure in the range 10% – 40+% (& can reach in excess of 150%)
achieve a strike-rate that is 87%+
It couldn't be much easier!
Want to see some proof that this works?
Then just watch the following video:
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
If you'd like a bit more proof, here are screenshots of my Betfair Profit & Loss account for the past few days:
(Click on image to enlarge)
Any of the above bets that are ‘Correct Score' are CS Lay Method bets. The ‘Over/Under 0.5 goals' bets are from the FootballProfits.co.uk tips. The blacked out bet is an Advanced method bet from my Football Dutching System Method 1 that you can find elsewhere on this website.
And this is what has happened over the past 2 days:
Yet more profit!
And on Saturday 31st October, it got even better!
And this is how November has started:
That's £64+ profit in 5 days & note that the above figures include 2 unsuccessful lays.
And just to show that the CS Lay Method is still working several months after the above Betfair screenshots, here are my recent profits:
That's a further £40+ profit in 4 days. Note that there were 3 losing bets, so profits could have been much higher if everything had gone to plan!
How to purchase the CS Lay Method course
When you click on any of the videos below, you will see the following image appear
(Click image to enlarge)
Click on the Play Now section & you will be given instructions for how to pay using PayPal as well as debit & credit cards.
Please note that you only need to pay £25 ONCE to allow you to access all of the videos on this page (& all those that will be added in the future).
Lay The Draw & Correct Score Trading Strategy
You do NOT need to pay £25 for each video!
Once your payment has been accepted, you will be able to view the videos. You will also be emailed with a Password Code that you will need to enter into the ‘Already Have A Ticket?' password box so that you can access the videos in the future. Note that the Password Code for the CS Lay Method videos will NOT work with the Football Dutching System Method 1 videos (you need to purchase a separate ticket to view those).
Should you not receive this code, then please send an email to losinglays@winning.com & I will send you your code.
Video 1 (31 mins)
In this video you will have the basic CS Lay Method explained in step-by-step detail.
You will be shown how to select the correct score that will be used for the lay bet in a particular football match & everything is demonstrated with a real bet being placed on a match. By the end of the video, you will be able to select matches & correct scores to lay for yourself.
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Video 2 (34 mins)
This video develops the Basic method & describes more Advanced ways of using the CS Lay Method to generate higher ROI figures. This is demonstrated with 2 lay bets on actual matches.
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Video 3 (20 mins)
This video provides a roundup of the ways to achieve high (20%+) ROI figures per lay. It also shows an additional way to select a correct score to lay.
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Video 4 (20 mins)
This video shows an example match using the Double CS Lay Method
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Description
This is one of the oldest and the most popular football strategies.
At the start of a football match place a back bet on the selection named '0 - 0' in a Correct Score market.
At the same time use 95% of the expected profit from this '0 - 0' bet to place a lay bet on 'The Draw' in a Match Odds market of the same game. I.e. back £10 at 12 on '0 - 0', that makes £110 expected profit. Then lay on 'The Draw' at 3.5: 110*0.95 / (3.5 - 1) = £41.8.
If a goal is scored, then green up 'The Draw'.
Triggers
Triggers in Action
When talking about this strategy we need to think of all possible outcomes. We simulated them in MF Pro 6.0, in Test Mode, to see what might happen with profits and losses if a game finished with different results.
1. One of the teams scored and the game did not end with The Draw, but the green-up trigger did not place a bet.
This means the '0 - 0' back bet lost and the lay bet placed on 'The Draw' won.
In this case the loss from the back bet is usually covered by the profit from the lay bet. In the screenshot above you can see that in the end the profit is 9.5 - 2 - 0.47 = 7.03.
Laying The Correct Score Markets
This is true unless the price of 'The Draw' is higher than back_price*0.95, where 'back_price' is the price at which the back bet was placed. So if in the example above the price of 'The Draw' had been higher than 14, that wouldn't have covered the loss, see below:
Lay amount = 2*(15 - 1) * 0.95 / (14.5 - 1) = 1.97
-2 + 1.97 - 0.1 = -0.13
Why the greenup trigger might not work?
If the chances of winning are way too different for the two teams, the fact that the underdog scores a goal might not increase the odds of 'The Draw'. This means there won't be an appropriate price for trading out, i.e. it might grow up, but not enough for a green up.
2. One of the teams scored, then the green-up trigger placed a bet.
In this case it does not matter whether the game ended in Draw or not, since the green-up trigger guarantees equal profit in either case.
Laying The Correct Score Market Capitalization
In the example above you can see that the final profit is:
I should also add that it's NOT a dutching method even though it's on this website.
You could use this strategy in the Correct Score market of a football match. You may decide that the 2 teams are closely matched, and that there will be very few goals scored. You could lay several score lines with plenty of goals, for example, 2-2, 2-3, 3-2, 3-3, plus any other score, targeting 3-3 and any other score. Bookmakers will typically limit the number of correct score odds to a maximum number of goals per team. If we call that number n, the maximum number of possible scores quoted by the bookmaker is then given by the formula (n+1) 2. For example, games that finish with anything from 0 to 6 goals for either team can have 49 possible scores. Free football correct score tips for the day. The best free daily expert correct score predictions provided by professional punters.
Those of you who are quite happy to place lay bets should read on:
This is a very simple technique. You just do the following steps:
place a lay bet on a single correct score for certain football matches. Lay odds are recommended to be a maximum of 9.0 but most lays are in the range of 5.5 & below
wait for the match to end
make a profit that has a return on investment figure in the range 10% – 40+% (& can reach in excess of 150%)
achieve a strike-rate that is 87%+
It couldn't be much easier!
Want to see some proof that this works?
Then just watch the following video:
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
If you'd like a bit more proof, here are screenshots of my Betfair Profit & Loss account for the past few days:
(Click on image to enlarge)
Any of the above bets that are ‘Correct Score' are CS Lay Method bets. The ‘Over/Under 0.5 goals' bets are from the FootballProfits.co.uk tips. The blacked out bet is an Advanced method bet from my Football Dutching System Method 1 that you can find elsewhere on this website.
And this is what has happened over the past 2 days:
Yet more profit!
And on Saturday 31st October, it got even better!
And this is how November has started:
That's £64+ profit in 5 days & note that the above figures include 2 unsuccessful lays.
And just to show that the CS Lay Method is still working several months after the above Betfair screenshots, here are my recent profits:
That's a further £40+ profit in 4 days. Note that there were 3 losing bets, so profits could have been much higher if everything had gone to plan!
How to purchase the CS Lay Method course
When you click on any of the videos below, you will see the following image appear
(Click image to enlarge)
Click on the Play Now section & you will be given instructions for how to pay using PayPal as well as debit & credit cards.
Please note that you only need to pay £25 ONCE to allow you to access all of the videos on this page (& all those that will be added in the future).
Lay The Draw & Correct Score Trading Strategy
You do NOT need to pay £25 for each video!
Once your payment has been accepted, you will be able to view the videos. You will also be emailed with a Password Code that you will need to enter into the ‘Already Have A Ticket?' password box so that you can access the videos in the future. Note that the Password Code for the CS Lay Method videos will NOT work with the Football Dutching System Method 1 videos (you need to purchase a separate ticket to view those).
Should you not receive this code, then please send an email to losinglays@winning.com & I will send you your code.
Video 1 (31 mins)
In this video you will have the basic CS Lay Method explained in step-by-step detail.
You will be shown how to select the correct score that will be used for the lay bet in a particular football match & everything is demonstrated with a real bet being placed on a match. By the end of the video, you will be able to select matches & correct scores to lay for yourself.
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Video 2 (34 mins)
This video develops the Basic method & describes more Advanced ways of using the CS Lay Method to generate higher ROI figures. This is demonstrated with 2 lay bets on actual matches.
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Video 3 (20 mins)
This video provides a roundup of the ways to achieve high (20%+) ROI figures per lay. It also shows an additional way to select a correct score to lay.
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Video 4 (20 mins)
This video shows an example match using the Double CS Lay Method
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Your browser does not support JavaScript! JavaScript is needed to display this video player.
Description
This is one of the oldest and the most popular football strategies.
At the start of a football match place a back bet on the selection named '0 - 0' in a Correct Score market.
At the same time use 95% of the expected profit from this '0 - 0' bet to place a lay bet on 'The Draw' in a Match Odds market of the same game. I.e. back £10 at 12 on '0 - 0', that makes £110 expected profit. Then lay on 'The Draw' at 3.5: 110*0.95 / (3.5 - 1) = £41.8.
If a goal is scored, then green up 'The Draw'.
Triggers
Triggers in Action
When talking about this strategy we need to think of all possible outcomes. We simulated them in MF Pro 6.0, in Test Mode, to see what might happen with profits and losses if a game finished with different results.
1. One of the teams scored and the game did not end with The Draw, but the green-up trigger did not place a bet.
This means the '0 - 0' back bet lost and the lay bet placed on 'The Draw' won.
In this case the loss from the back bet is usually covered by the profit from the lay bet. In the screenshot above you can see that in the end the profit is 9.5 - 2 - 0.47 = 7.03.
Laying The Correct Score Markets
This is true unless the price of 'The Draw' is higher than back_price*0.95, where 'back_price' is the price at which the back bet was placed. So if in the example above the price of 'The Draw' had been higher than 14, that wouldn't have covered the loss, see below:
Lay amount = 2*(15 - 1) * 0.95 / (14.5 - 1) = 1.97
-2 + 1.97 - 0.1 = -0.13
Why the greenup trigger might not work?
If the chances of winning are way too different for the two teams, the fact that the underdog scores a goal might not increase the odds of 'The Draw'. This means there won't be an appropriate price for trading out, i.e. it might grow up, but not enough for a green up.
2. One of the teams scored, then the green-up trigger placed a bet.
In this case it does not matter whether the game ended in Draw or not, since the green-up trigger guarantees equal profit in either case.
Laying The Correct Score Market Capitalization
In the example above you can see that the final profit is:
-2 + 9.5 - 7.08 - 0.12 = 0.3
The higher price 'The Draw' will be greened up at, the more profit you'll get. There is a minimum back price that ought to be offered for 'The Draw' in order to activate the greening up.
You can watch this price through a special user variable we inserted in the trigger file. It is called 'expected_price'. Use 'View Variables' tool to monitor this price if you want to know when the green-up will be triggered. See an example below:
3. None of the teams scored, the game ended with a nil-nil Draw.
The back bet is going to win in this case, and the lay bet will lose. If by any chance the green-up trigger gets executed, this will mean net profit in both markets. If it doesn't, then the profit from the back bet will cover all the loss from the lay bet. See below.
P/L = 28 - 1.4 - 26.6 = 0
4. The teams scored an equal number of goals, so the game ended in Draw, but the green-up trigger did not place a bet.
This is the worst possible outcome, it means that you lose in both markets, and that makes this strategy not 100% guaranteed.
P/L = -29.43 - 2 = -31.43
This may happen if 'The Draw's price did not reach the needed green-up level. Usually, if one of the teams scored a goal, the odds of 'The Draw' increase substantially, so you are supposed to have enough time to trade it out, before the next goal is scored.
Still you should bear in mind that something may prevent the trigger from placing the second bet (market gets suspended, not enough funds in your account etc.).
- Correct score
- Football / Soccer
- Link markets
- The Draw